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Title:HockeyAnalysis.com – Advancing Our Knowledge of Hockey Through Statistical Analysis
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HockeyAnalysis.com #8211; Advancing Our Knowledge of Hockey Through Statistical Analysis
HockeyAnalysis.com
Advancing Our Knowledge of Hockey Through Statistical Analysis
Privacy Policy
Going On Hiatus #8230;
September 20, 2016 David Johnson
I just finished an 8-part series on roles and statistics聽with a specific intent of showing that certain types of players or playing styles have impacts on save percentage. It was received well by some, not so well by others. Clearly there are detractors聽however this is a case of been there, done that for me. I went through the same debates 5-6 years ago with on-ice shooting percentage. I am confident down the road the hockey analytics community will begin to accept that players can influence save percentage just like most have now accepted聽players can influence on-ice shooting percentage. It #8217;ll just
raquo; Read more
Roles and Stats Part VIII: Review and Looking Forward
September 18, 2016 David Johnson
This is my 8th and final post in my series on the relationship between roles and statistics and this will be a review of what we have learned so far and maybe more important what it all means and doesn #8217;t mean. Series Posts Part I:聽Background and Methodology Part II:聽Roles and Offensive Stats 鈥 Forwards Part III:聽Roles and Defensive Stats 鈥 Forwards Part IV:聽Roles and Offensive Stats 鈥 Defensemen Part V:聽Roles and Defensive Stats 鈥 Defensemen Part VI:聽Who鈥檚 Who? Part VII:聽Can roles predict future shooting and save percentage? Review of Findings In this series of posts I used three different player
raquo; Read more
Roles and Stats Part VII: Can roles predict future shooting and save percentage?
September 17, 2016 David Johnson
In the first six parts of this series I have looked at the relationship between roles and player statistics and, particularly for forwards, there is a clear relationship between how a player is used and their resulting statistics. Now this isn #8217;t an absolute relationship as we saw with Brandon Sutter in part six of this series but it does exist. Thus far I have only presented an #8220;in-sample #8221; relationship (relationship between current season role and current season stats) but can roles predict future聽statistics as well? This is what I intend to show聽in this post. Leading and Trailing TOI% I am
raquo; Read more
Roles and Stats Part VI: Who #8217;s Who?
September 16, 2016 David Johnson
This is part six of my series on the relationship between roles and statistics. I recommend you read some or all of the previous posts before reading this one starting with my first post where I provide a background and the overall methodology of this research project. In this sixth post I want to look at which players are in some of the more extreme roles that have the most significant impacts on save percentage. Since we found there isn #8217;t much of a relationship between roles and save percentage for defensemen I will focus on forwards. As a refresher, here
raquo; Read more
Roles and Stats Part V: Roles and Defensive Stats #8211; Defensemen
September 15, 2016 David Johnson
This is part five of my series on roles and stats. In part four of the series I looked at how roles relate to the offensive statistics of defensemen and found that there was a relationship however it was not nearly as strong as for forwards (as one would聽expect). Today I will look at roles of defensemen and defensive statistics which one would think ought to show a stronger relationship. Let #8217;s have a look. (If you have not already, it is recommended to at least read part I of the series where I discuss methodology before proceeding). Leading and Trailing
raquo; Read more
Roles and Stats Part IV: Roles and Offensive Stats #8211; Defensemen
September 14, 2016 David Johnson
This is part four of my series on roles and stats. The first was an introduction and a description of methodology. The second and third聽parts of the series looked at offensive and defensive statistics for forwards respectively. This post will look at how roles relate to offensive statistics for defensemen. Leading and Trailing TOI% The above chart looks at the impact of roles, as identified by leading and trailing TOI%, on offensive production. There is definitely a pattern here similar to what we saw for forwards however it is聽to a much smaller degree. This makes sense as defensemen are less
raquo; Read more
Roles and Stats Part III: Roles and Defensive Stats #8211; Forwards
September 13, 2016 David Johnson
This is part three聽of my series on how roles impact statistics. In Part I I looked at a brief history of the debate and also described the methods used in this research. The history section is optional but I recommend reading the methods portion as it describes the statistics and methods used which will not be discussed in great detail聽here. The聽second post in the series looked at聽the relationship between roles and offensive statistics (GF60 Rel, CF60 Rel, and Sh% Rel) for forwards. In this third post I will look at the defensive statistics (GA60 Rel, CA60 Rel and Sv% Rel)
raquo; Read more
Roles and Stats Part II: Roles and Offensive Stats #8211; Forwards
September 12, 2016 David Johnson
This is part two of my series on how roles impact statistics. In Part I I looked at a brief history of the debate and also described the methods used in this research. The history section is optional but I recommend reading the methods portion as it describes the statistics and methods used which will not be repeated聽in great detail聽here. This second post in the series will look at聽the relationship between roles and offensive statistics (GF60 Rel, CF60 Rel, and Sh% Rel) for forwards. Leading and Trailing TOI% The chart above looks at the relationship between leading and trailing ice
raquo; Read more
Roles and Stats Part I: Background and Methodology
September 11, 2016 David Johnson
This is the first of what will be a series of posts on the impact of roles on stats with a particular interest in the impact of roles on shooting and save percentages. Background My involvement聽in hockey analytics has been somewhat outside of the main stream. I am a firm believer in shot quality and the ability of players to influence on-ice shooting and save percentages while hockey analytics has generally trended (almost exclusively) towards puck possession metrics like Corsi. As a result, over the years I have fought many battles with many people on shot quality starting first with
raquo; Read more
corsi, roles, save percentage. analytics, shooting percentage, shot quality, usage
Warren Buffett on Brandon Sutter
July 16, 2016 David Johnson
Yesterday I wrote about Brandon Sutter and his seemingly very good defensive ability in response to @DTMAboutHeart #8216;s comment that he was a below replacement level defensive player. The聽counter argument that @DTMAboutHeart (and others) put put is that Save % is all random and it infects goals against data with mass randomness that will inherently lead to outcomes like Sutter #8217;s goals against stats that have no basis in talent. Exhibit A of this yesterday came in the form of a quote from Warren Buffett. Here is Warren Buffett #8217;s take on the idea NHL players can influence SV% pic.twitter.com/LGwlozW3wD 鈥 DTM About
raquo; Read more
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Welcome Welcome to HockeyAnalysis.com, where I strive to get a better understanding of the game of hockey through the use of statistical analysis. I hope you enjoy whatever time you spend here and maybe even learn a little. If you have any questions or comments, feel free to drop me an e-mail at david (at) hockeyanalysis.com.
Recommended Websites
Introduction to Advanced Hockey Statistics
Maple Leafs Hot Stove
Puckalytics.com
Stats.hockeyanalysis.com
Top Articles on Hockey Analysis
Are coaches any good at identifying defensive players?
Do zone starts really matter and if so, how much?
Does higher Corsi Against rates boost Save Percentage?
Estimating Standard Deviation in On-ice Shooting Percentage Talent
Evaluating SCF and HSCF and our ability to quantify shot quality
Importance of Quality of Competition/Teammates
Introducing Rush Shots
Is 4v4 overtime hockey a crap shoot we can or should ignore?
Possession, Shooting Percentage and Outlier Teams
Relative importance of Corsi and the other 42%
The Coaching-Corsi Dilemma
The declining value of fenwick/corsi with increased sample size
The effect of QoC on Stats:Pavel Datsyuk vs Valtteri Filppula
The theory behind the defensive shell game
Zone starts and impact on players statistics
Zone Starts, Corsi, and the Percentages
Recent Posts
Going On Hiatus #8230;
Roles and Stats Part VIII: Review and Looking Forward
Roles and Stats Part VII: Can roles predict future shooting and save percentage?
Roles and Stats Part VI: Who #8217;s Who?
Roles and Stats Part V: Roles and Defensive Stats #8211; Defensemen
Recent Commentsrob on Going On Hiatus #8230;Tracie on Going On Hiatus #8230;Mike on Going On Hiatus #8230;Jesse on Going On Hiatus #8230;max on Going On Hiatus #8230;Pages
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